Leganés vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
DEP
3 - 1
LEG
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
LEG
3 - 1
FUE
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PPJ
2 - 1
LEG
34%
29%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
LEG
3 - 1
RSI
71%
20%
9%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
0 - 0
LEG
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
RMC
2 - 2
MAR
77%
15%
7%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 1
RMC
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
RMC
1 - 1
UDF
81%
14%
6%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
LAN
3 - 1
RMC
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
RMC
1 - 2
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |