Leganés vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
CDB
3 - 2
LEG
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
LEG
0 - 2
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
REC
1 - 2
LEG
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
LEG
3 - 1
SLA
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
LEV
1 - 2
LEG
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
NUM
4 - 0
RCF
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
EIB
2 - 0
NUM
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NUM
1 - 0
RJA
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
BUR
1 - 1
NUM
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
NUM
0 - 1
RAC
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |