Leeuwarder Zwaluwen vs Pelikaan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
13º
11º
48
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WIN
3 - 1
LEE
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 1
VVG
65%
18%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FVC
0 - 1
LEE
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 4
DRA
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LEE
3 - 3
HOO
22%
19%
59%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pelikaan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PEL
1 - 1
TFE
91%
7%
3%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BRO
1 - 2
PEL
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEL
2 - 1
PKC
73%
16%
12%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 1
PEL
36%
22%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 1
PEL
41%
23%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |