Leeuwarder Zwaluwen vs Oranje Nassau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
59.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
13º
11º
47
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PKC
5 - 2
LEE
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEE
0 - 2
BLA
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ONS
2 - 2
LEE
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LEE
4 - 2
GOR
59%
19%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEL
7 - 2
LEE
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oranje Nassau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ORA
3 - 1
TFE
93%
6%
2%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 5
ORA
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ORA
2 - 1
HOO
35%
21%
43%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ORA
3 - 3
PKC
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 1
ORA
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |