Leeuwarder Zwaluwen vs Oranje Nassau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
59.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
13º
11º
47
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PKC
5 - 2
LEE
50%
21%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEE
0 - 2
BLA
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ONS
2 - 2
LEE
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LEE
4 - 2
GOR
59%
19%
23%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEL
7 - 2
LEE
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oranje Nassau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ORA
3 - 1
TFE
93%
6%
2%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 5
ORA
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ORA
2 - 1
HOO
35%
21%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ORA
3 - 3
PKC
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 1
ORA
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |