Leeuwarder Zwaluwen vs Oranje Nassau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
76.8%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LEE
2 - 5
PEL
20%
19%
61%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ZMV
5 - 0
LEE
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LEE
3 - 2
WIN
28%
22%
51%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ORA
7 - 1
LEE
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LEE
2 - 3
SVI
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Oranje Nassau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FCB
2 - 4
ORA
28%
20%
52%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ORA
0 - 0
WIN
79%
13%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BRO
2 - 2
ORA
12%
15%
73%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ORA
7 - 1
LEE
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ORA
0 - 2
BLA
60%
19%
21%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |