Leeuwarder Zwaluwen vs ONS Sneek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
66%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
13º
11º
48
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LEE
1 - 0
PEL
13%
18%
70%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WIN
3 - 1
LEE
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 1
VVG
65%
18%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FVC
0 - 1
LEE
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 4
DRA
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ONS Sneek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BRO
2 - 1
ONS
23%
20%
57%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ONS
2 - 0
ORA
60%
19%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PKC
1 - 2
ONS
23%
19%
59%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ONS
1 - 1
HOO
69%
15%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 2
ONS
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |