Leeuwarder Zwaluwen vs Hoogezand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
58.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
13º
11º
28
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LEE
5 - 0
TFE
91%
7%
2%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 1
LEE
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LEE
0 - 3
ORA
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PKC
5 - 2
LEE
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEE
0 - 2
BLA
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hoogezand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HOO
2 - 1
GOR
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TFE
0 - 5
HOO
5%
11%
84%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HOO
1 - 3
PEL
36%
21%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BRO
3 - 1
HOO
33%
22%
46%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HOO
1 - 0
WIN
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |