Leeds United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
LEE
3 - 3
OPA
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
LEI
2 - 2
LEE
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
LEE
2 - 0
QPR
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
BUR
2 - 3
LEE
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LEE
2 - 1
CRY
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
PNE
1 - 3
MID
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
DON
2 - 1
MID
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
MID
1 - 0
CAR
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
COV
1 - 0
MID
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MID
2 - 2
HUL
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |