Championship Round 17

Leeds United vs Burnley analysis

Leeds United Burnley
79 ELO 67
-3.9% Tilt 2.7%
168º General ELO ranking 162º
19º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
68.3%
Leeds United
20%
Draw
11.8%
Burnley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
Leeds United
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.8%
Win probability
Burnley
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leeds United
+6%
+3%
Burnley

ELO progression

Leeds United
Burnley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leeds United
Leeds United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2004
LEE
Leeds United
0 - 2
Wigan Athletic
WIG
58%
24%
18%
80 76 4 0
26 Oct. 2004
OPA
Portsmouth
2 - 1
Leeds United
LEE
58%
22%
20%
80 80 0 0
23 Oct. 2004
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
18%
24%
58%
80 63 17 0
19 Oct. 2004
REA
Reading
1 - 1
Leeds United
LEE
30%
26%
44%
80 71 9 0
16 Oct. 2004
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
63%
21%
16%
80 67 13 0

Matches

Burnley
Burnley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2004
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
3 - 0
Burnley
BUR
52%
25%
23%
67 69 2 0
26 Oct. 2004
BUR
Burnley
3 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
23%
25%
52%
65 86 21 +2
22 Oct. 2004
BUR
Burnley
0 - 2
Derby County
DER
64%
21%
16%
66 63 3 -1
19 Oct. 2004
BUR
Burnley
2 - 2
Coventry City
COV
51%
23%
25%
66 67 1 0
16 Oct. 2004
IPS
Ipswich Town
1 - 1
Burnley
BUR
71%
18%
11%
66 75 9 0