Premier League Round 32

Leeds United vs Arsenal analysis

Leeds United Arsenal
92 ELO 90
-2.3% Tilt -11.6%
168º General ELO ranking 16º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
63.1%
Leeds United
21.9%
Draw
15%
Arsenal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
Leeds United
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15%
Win probability
Arsenal
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leeds United
+5%
+1%
Arsenal

ELO progression

Leeds United
Arsenal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leeds United
Leeds United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 1972
LEI
Leicester
0 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
17%
29%
54%
92 83 9 0
18 Mar. 1972
LEE
Leeds United
2 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
71%
18%
11%
92 89 3 0
11 Mar. 1972
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 0
Coventry City
COV
77%
16%
8%
92 84 8 0
04 Mar. 1972
LEE
Leeds United
7 - 0
Southampton
SOU
75%
16%
9%
92 83 9 0
26 Feb. 1972
CAR
Cardiff City
0 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
24%
27%
49%
91 75 16 +1

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 1972
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 1
Ajax
AJA
58%
23%
19%
90 89 1 0
18 Mar. 1972
LEY
Leyton Orient
0 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
23%
27%
50%
90 67 23 0
13 Mar. 1972
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 0
Derby County
DER
63%
22%
16%
90 88 2 0
11 Mar. 1972
NEW
Newcastle
2 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
37%
29%
34%
90 86 4 0
08 Mar. 1972
AJA
Ajax
2 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
65%
19%
16%
90 89 1 0