Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Lech Poznań vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
LPO
2 - 0
CRA
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
SHA
1 - 1
LPO
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
PLO
1 - 2
LPO
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
GAN
2 - 1
LPO
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
LPO
2 - 0
GAN
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CIS
0 - 11
SHA
16%
20%
64%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
SHA
1 - 1
LPO
48%
27%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 0
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
DIN
1 - 3
SHA
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
CON
1 - 3
SHA
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |