Cup . Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Lech Poznań vs Podbeskidzie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
LPO
2 - 2
SLA
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LPO
2 - 0
JAG
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 0
LPO
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ARK
0 - 3
LPO
24%
28%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
LPO
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Podbeskidzie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
POD
2 - 2
WIS
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
WIS
0 - 1
POD
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
POD
2 - 0
BEL
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
POD
2 - 0
PGL
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
FLO
0 - 3
POD
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |