Lecce vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
CES
3 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASC
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
ABN
1 - 3
LEC
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LEC
3 - 2
GRO
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 0
LEC
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 0
TOR
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
EMP
1 - 0
VIC
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
PIA
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
PAD
1 - 2
VIC
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
VIC
2 - 0
FRO
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |