Serie B Round 13

Lecce vs Ternana Calcio analysis

Lecce Ternana Calcio
60 ELO 61
-18.3% Tilt -22.5%
116º General ELO ranking 546º
20º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
51.3%
Lecce
28.6%
Draw
20.1%
Ternana Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
Lecce
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
20.1%
Win probability
Ternana Calcio
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lecce
+2%
-6%
Ternana Calcio

ELO progression

Lecce
Ternana Calcio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 1978
SAM
Sampdoria
0 - 0
Lecce
LEC
67%
22%
11%
60 64 4 0
03 Dec. 1978
LEC
Lecce
2 - 2
Pescara
PES
45%
32%
24%
60 66 6 0
26 Nov. 1978
RIM
Rimini
0 - 0
Lecce
LEC
52%
29%
20%
60 58 2 0
19 Nov. 1978
LEC
Lecce
0 - 0
Pistoiese
PIS
45%
28%
27%
60 63 3 0
12 Nov. 1978
LEC
Lecce
0 - 0
Taranto
TAR
58%
27%
15%
60 58 2 0

Matches

Ternana Calcio
Ternana Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 1978
TER
Ternana Calcio
0 - 0
Cesena
CES
45%
30%
25%
61 64 3 0
03 Dec. 1978
TER
Ternana Calcio
0 - 1
Udinese
UDI
49%
29%
22%
62 62 0 -1
26 Nov. 1978
PIS
Pistoiese
2 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
51%
27%
22%
63 63 0 -1
19 Nov. 1978
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 0
Rimini
RIM
57%
27%
16%
62 58 4 +1
11 Nov. 1978
ASS
AC Monza
0 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
58%
26%
16%
62 65 3 0