Lecce vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
COM
2 - 0
LEC
55%
28%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
LEC
2 - 1
TER
53%
28%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
VER
1 - 0
LEC
60%
26%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEC
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
BRE
0 - 0
SPA
67%
22%
11%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 1
MAT
75%
16%
10%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
TER
1 - 0
SPA
51%
30%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
SPA
1 - 2
PAL
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
VIC
2 - 0
SPA
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |