Serie A Round 24

Lecce vs Siena analysis

Lecce Siena
75 ELO 80
10.9% Tilt 8.1%
116º General ELO ranking 3969º
20º Country ELO ranking 135º
ELO win probability
39.6%
Lecce
27.1%
Draw
33.2%
Siena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
Lecce
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.2%
Win probability
Siena
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lecce
+4%
-10%
Siena

ELO progression

Lecce
Siena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2012
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 0
Lecce
LEC
52%
24%
24%
74 79 5 0
05 Feb. 2012
LEC
Lecce
0 - 0
Bologna
BOL
46%
26%
28%
74 78 4 0
01 Feb. 2012
UDI
Udinese
2 - 1
Lecce
LEC
69%
19%
13%
75 86 11 -1
29 Jan. 2012
LEC
Lecce
1 - 0
Inter
INT
17%
24%
60%
74 90 16 +1
22 Jan. 2012
LEC
Lecce
2 - 2
Chievo
CHI
35%
28%
37%
74 82 8 0

Matches

Siena
Siena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2012
SIE
Siena
1 - 0
Roma
ROM
24%
25%
51%
80 87 7 0
09 Feb. 2012
SIE
Siena
2 - 1
Napoli
NAP
28%
27%
45%
79 87 8 +1
05 Feb. 2012
JUV
Juventus
0 - 0
Siena
SIE
76%
16%
8%
79 88 9 0
29 Jan. 2012
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 1
Siena
SIE
61%
22%
17%
79 84 5 0
25 Jan. 2012
CHI
Chievo
0 - 1
Siena
SIE
49%
27%
24%
79 82 3 0