Lecce vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
MES
2 - 1
LEC
48%
25%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LEC
2 - 0
PAL
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
JUV
3 - 1
LEC
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
LEC
0 - 0
REG
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CAG
0 - 0
LEC
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 1
LIV
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MES
0 - 1
PAR
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 4
FIO
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
TRE
0 - 1
PAR
24%
27%
50%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 0
ASC
67%
21%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |