Lecce vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
LEC
2 - 1
CES
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
VNZ
2 - 1
LEC
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
LEC
4 - 5
PES
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
VER
0 - 1
LEC
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
LEC
1 - 0
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
BAR
1 - 1
NAP
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAR
41%
28%
32%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
CAG
0 - 1
NAP
41%
28%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 2
NAP
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |