Lecce vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
NUO
3 - 4
LEC
21%
27%
53%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
4 - 0
FCC
71%
20%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
LEC
14%
23%
63%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASM
76%
18%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 3
LEC
12%
23%
66%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
MAR
69%
21%
10%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
JUS
1 - 1
MAT
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
FCC
57%
25%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
NUO
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
MAT
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |