Lecce vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SSB
1 - 1
LEC
12%
22%
66%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
LRO
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 3
VIG
86%
11%
3%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ISC
2 - 1
LEC
7%
19%
75%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LEC
0 - 1
MAR
86%
11%
3%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 1
JUS
30%
27%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 0
MAT
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
RAA
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 1
MAT
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 0
ISC
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |