Lecce vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
58.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
PIA
2 - 1
LEC
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
SAM
2 - 1
LEC
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
LEC
0 - 2
USF
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 0
LEC
62%
24%
15%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
LEC
0 - 1
ACM
11%
22%
67%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
JUV
4 - 0
REG
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1993 |
JUV
3 - 0
LOK
88%
9%
4%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
USF
1 - 1
JUV
25%
26%
49%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
JUV
3 - 1
SAM
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
ROM
2 - 1
JUV
40%
26%
34%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |