Lecce vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
4.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 3
LEC
6%
17%
76%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 1
TRE
88%
10%
2%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
LEC
12%
20%
68%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 0
CUN
85%
12%
4%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
USC
1 - 1
LEC
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
REG
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
POR
2 - 2
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
COM
4 - 0
TRI
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
COM
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |