Lecce vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.2%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
LEC
46%
28%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 1
FIO
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
LEC
78%
14%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
1 - 2
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 2
NAP
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ABN
0 - 3
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 1
CHI
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAM
69%
20%
10%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 1
CHI
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
USV
1 - 1
CHI
20%
26%
54%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |