Lecce vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
LEC
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
USV
81%
14%
5%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
REG
1 - 2
LEC
15%
23%
63%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
SIR
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
LEC
23%
26%
52%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 2
ASM
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MES
1 - 2
CAT
24%
28%
49%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 0
TAR
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AKR
2 - 1
CAT
24%
27%
48%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
CAT
2 - 0
MAT
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |