Lecce vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BAR
3 - 1
LEC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
ROM
25%
26%
50%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
VNZ
0 - 0
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
LEC
1 - 0
INT
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
UDI
2 - 1
LEC
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
CAG
0 - 1
REG
59%
24%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
CAG
0 - 1
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAG
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
CAG
2 - 3
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
FIO
2 - 0
CAG
60%
21%
18%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |