Lecce vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
5 - 2
LEC
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 0
REG
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
UDI
2 - 0
LEC
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 2
LAZ
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAG
2 - 0
LEC
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 0
TOR
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ACM
3 - 0
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 2
CHI
59%
22%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 0
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 0
ROM
24%
24%
52%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |