Lecce vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 1
LEC
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2005 |
UDI
3 - 4
LEC
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
LEC
1 - 1
REG
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
ACM
5 - 2
LEC
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
LEC
1 - 4
SAM
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
MES
1 - 0
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 1
SIE
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2005 |
JUV
3 - 3
ATL
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 0
FIO
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |