Lecce vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 0
LEC
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LEC
3 - 0
CHI
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
PIA
0 - 1
LEC
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 2
LEC
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
SPE
5 - 2
TRE
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
PIA
1 - 0
SPE
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
SPE
3 - 0
FRO
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ASC
1 - 0
SPE
71%
18%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SPE
0 - 1
TRI
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |