Lecce vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
VIC
1 - 1
LEC
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
ASC
1 - 0
LEC
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
VER
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 2
LEC
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
ANC
1 - 0
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
CAG
2 - 1
ANC
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
ANC
1 - 2
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASC
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
COS
0 - 0
ANC
27%
27%
47%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |