Lega Primavera U19 Round 1

Lecce U20 vs Milan U20 analysis

Lecce U20 Milan U20
11 ELO 13
-8.6% Tilt -2.8%
17009º General ELO ranking 16240º
438º Country ELO ranking 429º
ELO win probability
42.1%
Lecce U20
22.3%
Draw
35.6%
Milan U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
Lecce U20
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.6%
Win probability
Milan U20
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lecce U20
-48%
+13%
Milan U20

ELO progression

Lecce U20
Milan U20
Cagliari U20
Cesena U20
Genoa U20
Sassuolo U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lecce U20
Lecce U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2025
MON
Monopoli
2 - 1
Lecce U20
LEC
82%
13%
5%
11 68 57 0
18 May. 2025
LEC
Lecce U20
1 - 1
Lazio U20
LAZ
48%
22%
30%
11 11 0 0
10 May. 2025
SAS
Sassuolo U20
2 - 0
Lecce U20
LEC
47%
22%
31%
12 13 1 -1
03 May. 2025
LEC
Lecce U20
1 - 1
Empoli U20
EMP
68%
17%
15%
13 8 5 -1
27 Apr. 2025
TOR
Torino U20
2 - 5
Lecce U20
LEC
47%
22%
31%
11 12 1 +2

Matches

Milan U20
Milan U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2025
SAS
Sassuolo U20
3 - 0
Milan U20
MIL
43%
22%
35%
13 13 0 0
17 May. 2025
MIL
Milan U20
3 - 1
Genoa U20
GEN
58%
20%
22%
12 10 2 +1
11 May. 2025
TOR
Torino U20
2 - 1
Milan U20
MIL
34%
22%
43%
13 11 2 -1
04 May. 2025
MIL
Milan U20
4 - 0
Udinese U20
UDI
66%
18%
16%
12 7 5 +1
28 Apr. 2025
LAZ
Lazio U20
0 - 2
Milan U20
MIL
64%
18%
18%
11 14 3 +1