U17 National Championship Italy Group C Round 17

Lecce U17 vs Roma U17 analysis

Lecce U17 Roma U17
24 ELO 52
-7.6% Tilt -0.8%
10794º General ELO ranking 3822º
395º Country ELO ranking 128º
ELO win probability
4.3%
Lecce U17
11.6%
Draw
84.2%
Roma U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.3%
Win probability
Lecce U17
0.46
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
84.2%
Win probability
Roma U17
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lecce U17
-7%
+5%
Roma U17

Points and table prediction

Lecce U17
Their league position
Roma U17
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
12º
10º
56
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fiorentina U17
64
64
100%
Empoli U17
58
58
100%
Roma U17
56
56
100%
Lazio U17
37
37
0%
Frosinone U17
37
37
0%
Palermo U17
35
35
100%
Salernitana U17
33
33
100%
SSC Bari U17
32
32
100%
Catanzaro U17
21
21
100%
Lecce U17
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Ascoli U17
11º
19
19
11º
100%
Nuova Cosenza U17
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Ternana Calcio U17
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lecce U17
Roma U17
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 100%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Lecce U17
Roma U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lecce U17
Lecce U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
FCC
Catanzaro U17
1 - 2
Lecce U17
LCC
17%
19%
65%
24 14 10 0
21 Jan. 2024
LCC
Lecce U17
1 - 3
Fiorentina U17
FIO
7%
16%
76%
25 48 23 -1
14 Jan. 2024
LAZ
Lazio U17
4 - 2
Lecce U17
LCC
81%
12%
7%
25 40 15 0
17 Dec. 2023
SAL
Salernitana U17
1 - 4
Lecce U17
LCC
18%
21%
61%
25 17 8 0
10 Dec. 2023
LCC
Lecce U17
0 - 1
Ternana Calcio U17
TER
67%
19%
14%
25 19 6 0

Matches

Roma U17
Roma U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
ROM
Roma U17
5 - 1
Ascoli U17
ASC
93%
6%
2%
51 15 36 0
14 Jan. 2024
FCC
Catanzaro U17
1 - 5
Roma U17
ROM
9%
15%
76%
51 17 34 0
17 Dec. 2023
FIO
Fiorentina U17
2 - 1
Roma U17
ROM
29%
22%
49%
52 47 5 -1
10 Dec. 2023
ROM
Roma U17
2 - 1
Lazio U17
LAZ
79%
13%
8%
51 40 11 +1
03 Dec. 2023
SAL
Salernitana U17
0 - 6
Roma U17
ROM
3%
10%
86%
52 17 35 -1