Lebring vs Lafnitz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
47.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
13º
13º
48
3º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
FEH
4 - 3
LEB
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LEB
2 - 4
UGA
41%
22%
38%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
TSH
2 - 0
LEB
42%
21%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
LEB
4 - 0
SVF
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
4 - 1
LEB
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
LAF
3 - 2
SVT
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 1
LAF
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
LAF
5 - 2
FCS
76%
14%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
SCB
2 - 1
LAF
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAF
5 - 0
HGK
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |