Tercera División RFEF II - Asturias Round 5

Lealtad Villaviciosa vs UC Ceares analysis

Lealtad Villaviciosa UC Ceares
41 ELO 29
-21.7% Tilt -16.1%
6278º General ELO ranking 8347º
247º Country ELO ranking 409º
ELO win probability
62.1%
Lealtad Villaviciosa
21.3%
Draw
16.5%
UC Ceares

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
Lealtad Villaviciosa
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.6%
Win probability
UC Ceares
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lealtad Villaviciosa
+38%
-1%
UC Ceares

Points and table prediction

Lealtad Villaviciosa
Their league position
UC Ceares
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
38
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Oviedo Vetusta
89
89
100%
Caudal Deportivo
76
76
100%
CD Covadonga
73
73
100%
Sporting Atlético
67
67
100%
Lealtad Villaviciosa
58
58
26%
CD Mosconia
55
58
26%
L´Entregu CF
51
51
100%
CD Praviano
44
44
100%
CD Tuilla
40
40
67%
CD Colunga
12º
38
39
10º
67%
UC Ceares
10º
38
38
11º
100%
Avilés Stadium
11º
38
38
12º
100%
Real Titánico
13º
36
36
13º
100%
EI San Martín
14º
32
33
14º
100%
SD Lenense Proinastur
15º
32
32
15º
100%
Urraca CF
16º
27
27
16º
100%
Condal
17º
26
26
17º
100%
TSK Roces
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lealtad Villaviciosa
UC Ceares
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
26% 0%
Mid-table
74% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lealtad Villaviciosa
UC Ceares
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lealtad Villaviciosa
Lealtad Villaviciosa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2024
LEA
Lealtad Villaviciosa
0 - 2
SD Compostela
COM
27%
27%
47%
42 48 6 0
29 Sep. 2024
COL
CD Colunga
1 - 4
Lealtad Villaviciosa
LEA
13%
21%
66%
41 22 19 +1
25 Sep. 2024
AVI
Real Avilés Industrial
0 - 2
Lealtad Villaviciosa
LEA
69%
19%
12%
39 52 13 +2
22 Sep. 2024
LEA
Lealtad Villaviciosa
2 - 3
CD Covadonga
COV
32%
27%
41%
40 42 2 -1
15 Sep. 2024
LEN
L´Entregu CF
1 - 1
Lealtad Villaviciosa
LEA
34%
26%
40%
40 37 3 0

Matches

UC Ceares
UC Ceares
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2024
CEA
UC Ceares
0 - 3
Real Oviedo Vetusta
ROB
24%
23%
53%
31 43 12 0
22 Sep. 2024
RTI
Real Titánico
2 - 2
UC Ceares
CEA
26%
24%
50%
31 24 7 0
15 Sep. 2024
CEA
UC Ceares
0 - 1
CD Tuilla
TUI
44%
23%
33%
33 32 1 -2
08 Sep. 2024
ESM
EI San Martín
0 - 2
UC Ceares
CEA
29%
25%
46%
31 27 4 +2
24 Aug. 2024
CAU
Caudal Deportivo
2 - 0
UC Ceares
CEA
40%
26%
34%
32 34 2 -1