Le Messager Ngozi vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MYB
0 - 5
NGO
22%
22%
57%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
NGO
1 - 0
TIN
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
DYN
1 - 2
NGO
47%
25%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NGO
0 - 0
DYN
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
TIN
1 - 0
NGO
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ANM
1 - 0
STA
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ANM
4 - 1
BUM
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MYB
0 - 2
ANM
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
INT
0 - 0
ANM
32%
25%
44%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ANM
3 - 1
MYB
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |