UCL Quarter-finals

Global 3-5

Lazio vs Valencia analysis

Lazio Valencia
92 ELO 90
10.8% Tilt 0.5%
17º General ELO ranking 50º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
63.9%
Lazio
20.7%
Draw
15.4%
Valencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
Lazio
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.4%
Win probability
Valencia
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-5%
+3%
Valencia

ELO progression

Lazio
Valencia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2000
FIO
Fiorentina
3 - 3
Lazio
LAZ
37%
27%
37%
92 89 3 0
12 Apr. 2000
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Inter
INT
66%
20%
14%
92 90 2 0
09 Apr. 2000
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 0
Perugia
PRG
81%
13%
6%
92 81 11 0
05 Apr. 2000
VCF
Valencia
5 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
41%
27%
32%
93 90 3 -1
01 Apr. 2000
JUV
Juventus
0 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
48%
25%
26%
92 92 0 +1

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2000
SEV
Sevilla
1 - 2
Valencia
VCF
25%
27%
48%
90 77 13 0
09 Apr. 2000
VCF
Valencia
6 - 2
Real Oviedo
OVI
76%
15%
9%
90 79 11 0
05 Apr. 2000
VCF
Valencia
5 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
41%
27%
32%
90 93 3 0
02 Apr. 2000
FCB
Barcelona
3 - 0
Valencia
VCF
72%
17%
12%
90 92 2 0
25 Mar. 2000
VCF
Valencia
1 - 0
Mallorca
MLL
66%
20%
14%
90 87 3 0