Lazio vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 0
LAZ
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 4
LAZ
25%
23%
52%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 0
UDI
49%
25%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 1
SIE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 3
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 3
ROM
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
SIE
2 - 0
TOR
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
SIE
40%
28%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |