Lazio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LAZ
4 - 2
ANC
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
LAZ
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LAZ
5 - 2
SIE
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PRG
1 - 2
LAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 1
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MOD
0 - 1
ROM
17%
26%
58%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ROM
3 - 1
CHI
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LEC
0 - 3
ROM
18%
26%
56%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ROM
1 - 2
BOL
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
ROM
2 - 1
VIL
64%
21%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |