Serie A Round 4

Lazio vs Parma analysis

Lazio Parma
85 ELO 72
17% Tilt 2.1%
17º General ELO ranking 84º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
78.6%
Lazio
14%
Draw
7.4%
Parma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
Lazio
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.4%
Win probability
Parma
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-3%
+8%
Parma

ELO progression

Lazio
Parma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2019
CLU
CFR Cluj
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
34%
27%
39%
85 82 3 0
15 Sep. 2019
SPA
SPAL
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
20%
24%
56%
85 75 10 0
01 Sep. 2019
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 1
Roma
ROM
43%
23%
34%
85 87 2 0
25 Aug. 2019
SAM
Sampdoria
0 - 3
Lazio
LAZ
42%
25%
33%
85 82 3 0
10 Aug. 2019
CEL
Celta
1 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
85 85 0 0

Matches

Parma
Parma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2019
PAR
Parma
1 - 3
Cagliari
CAG
38%
28%
34%
73 76 3 0
01 Sep. 2019
UDI
Udinese
1 - 3
Parma
PAR
61%
21%
18%
72 78 6 +1
24 Aug. 2019
PAR
Parma
0 - 1
Juventus
JUV
9%
20%
71%
72 91 19 0
17 Aug. 2019
PAR
Parma
3 - 1
Venezia
VNZ
51%
25%
24%
72 67 5 0
10 Aug. 2019
PAR
Parma
2 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
23%
24%
54%
72 82 10 0