Lazio vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 1
LAZ
70%
19%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SIE
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAG
0 - 2
LAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LAZ
0 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
LAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAT
49%
26%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
NAP
3 - 1
JUV
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 1
NAP
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NAP
1 - 3
FIO
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BOL
2 - 1
NAP
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |