Coppa Italia Group C Round 1

Lazio vs Napoli analysis

Lazio Napoli
62 ELO 82
-11.8% Tilt -8.2%
17º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33%
Lazio
29.9%
Draw
37%
Napoli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
Lazio
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
37%
Win probability
Napoli
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-5%
-1%
Napoli

ELO progression

Lazio
Napoli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 1982
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
69%
21%
10%
63 57 6 0
22 Aug. 1982
AVE
Avellino
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
68%
19%
14%
63 73 10 0
18 Aug. 1982
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 2
Perugia
PRG
41%
27%
32%
62 72 10 +1
13 Jun. 1982
PAL
Palermo FC
3 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
52%
28%
20%
63 62 1 -1
06 Jun. 1982
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 2
Varese
VAR
51%
28%
21%
62 64 2 +1

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 1982
NAP
Napoli
2 - 1
Avellino
AVE
63%
22%
15%
81 74 7 0
22 Aug. 1982
PRG
Perugia
0 - 0
Napoli
NAP
29%
29%
43%
81 71 10 0
18 Aug. 1982
SAL
Salernitana
0 - 1
Napoli
NAP
34%
26%
40%
81 62 19 0
16 May. 1982
NAP
Napoli
2 - 2
Genoa
GEN
67%
23%
11%
81 68 13 0
09 May. 1982
JUV
Juventus
0 - 0
Napoli
NAP
75%
17%
8%
81 88 7 0