Lazio vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
38.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
25%
28%
47%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
ATL
3 - 0
LAZ
50%
28%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
LAZ
2 - 0
LEC
50%
29%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
TOR
1 - 1
LAZ
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
NAP
4 - 0
VNZ
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
NAP
3 - 0
ATL
64%
22%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
ACM
1 - 0
NAP
69%
20%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
NAP
2 - 0
ROM
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1967 |
NAP
0 - 0
BUR
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |