Lazio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
LAZ
1 - 0
TRI
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
INT
3 - 2
LAZ
77%
13%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BRE
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
LAZ
4 - 0
UNI
65%
19%
17%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
USA
1 - 1
MOD
53%
21%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
MOD
4 - 1
LIV
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
JUV
4 - 1
MOD
78%
13%
8%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
MOD
5 - 1
CAS
82%
12%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
LEO
3 - 0
MOD
62%
18%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |