Lazio vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 0
VNZ
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1999 |
LAZ
3 - 0
PAN
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
EMP
0 - 0
LAZ
19%
25%
56%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
LAZ
6 - 1
SAL
84%
11%
5%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1999 |
PAN
0 - 4
LAZ
19%
26%
56%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
ACM
2 - 2
BAR
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
INT
2 - 2
ACM
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
ACM
1 - 0
PIA
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAG
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |