Lazio vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
TOR
4 - 3
LAZ
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
LAZ
0 - 0
CES
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ASC
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
SAM
1 - 0
LAZ
75%
18%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
LAZ
0 - 0
JUV
19%
26%
55%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1989 |
BRE
0 - 0
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
ACM
6 - 1
PES
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
FIO
0 - 2
ACM
36%
29%
36%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
ACM
1 - 1
BOL
74%
18%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
ASC
0 - 2
ACM
30%
29%
41%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |