Lazio vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
ROM
2 - 1
LAZ
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ASL
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
50%
23%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
LAZ
2 - 1
TRI
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
ACL
2 - 1
LAZ
41%
22%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
ACM
3 - 1
NAP
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
ACM
5 - 1
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 1
ACM
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
JUV
2 - 0
ACM
70%
18%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |