Lazio vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
PAR
3 - 1
LAZ
38%
27%
35%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
LAZ
1 - 1
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
LAZ
0 - 1
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 1
LAZ
22%
27%
51%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
LAZ
3 - 0
MED
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MES
1 - 4
LEC
44%
25%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
JUV
2 - 1
MES
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MES
4 - 1
SIE
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
SIE
1 - 1
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MES
0 - 0
CHI
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |