Serie A Round 12

Lazio vs Lecce analysis

Lazio Lecce
85 ELO 71
20.6% Tilt 1.8%
15º General ELO ranking 128º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
80.8%
Lazio
12.8%
Draw
6.4%
Lecce

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
Lazio
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.4%
Win probability
Lecce
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-6%
+3%
Lecce

ELO progression

Lazio
Lecce
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2019
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 2
Celtic
CEL
41%
24%
35%
86 88 2 0
03 Nov. 2019
ACM
Milan
1 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
44%
26%
30%
85 86 1 +1
30 Oct. 2019
LAZ
Lazio
4 - 0
Torino
TOR
54%
23%
24%
85 85 0 0
27 Oct. 2019
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
47%
24%
29%
85 84 1 0
24 Oct. 2019
CEL
Celtic
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
61%
21%
18%
85 87 2 0

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2019
LEC
Lecce
2 - 2
Sassuolo
SAS
37%
26%
37%
72 79 7 0
30 Oct. 2019
SAM
Sampdoria
1 - 1
Lecce
LEC
61%
21%
18%
72 79 7 0
26 Oct. 2019
LEC
Lecce
1 - 1
Juventus
JUV
11%
21%
69%
72 91 19 0
20 Oct. 2019
ACM
Milan
2 - 2
Lecce
LEC
71%
19%
10%
72 86 14 0
06 Oct. 2019
ATL
Atalanta
3 - 1
Lecce
LEC
82%
12%
6%
71 86 15 +1