Serie A Round 19

Lazio vs Lecce analysis

Lazio Lecce
85 ELO 75
2.9% Tilt -6.3%
17º General ELO ranking 116º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
64.5%
Lazio
20.4%
Draw
15.1%
Lecce

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
Lazio
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.1%
Win probability
Lecce
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-5%
+3%
Lecce

ELO progression

Lazio
Lecce
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2011
GEN
Genoa
0 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
47%
25%
28%
85 82 3 0
19 Dec. 2010
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 2
Udinese
UDI
51%
25%
24%
85 84 1 0
12 Dec. 2010
JUV
Juventus
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
63%
21%
16%
85 88 3 0
03 Dec. 2010
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 1
Inter
INT
23%
26%
51%
85 92 7 0
28 Nov. 2010
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 1
Catania
CAT
59%
23%
18%
85 81 4 0

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2011
LEC
Lecce
0 - 1
SSC Bari
BAR
44%
26%
30%
75 78 3 0
19 Dec. 2010
NAP
Napoli
1 - 0
Lecce
LEC
58%
23%
19%
75 84 9 0
12 Dec. 2010
LEC
Lecce
3 - 2
Chievo
CHI
38%
28%
34%
75 82 7 0
05 Dec. 2010
LEC
Lecce
1 - 3
Genoa
GEN
36%
28%
36%
75 82 7 0
28 Nov. 2010
CAG
Cagliari
3 - 2
Lecce
LEC
53%
25%
23%
76 80 4 -1