Coppa Italia . Final
Global 4-2
Lazio vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
LAZ
2 - 2
UDI
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ACM
49%
25%
26%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAZ
32%
27%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
LAZ
3 - 0
EMP
78%
14%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ACM
47%
26%
27%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 3
ACM
55%
24%
22%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2004 |
JUV
0 - 1
DEP
54%
23%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
BRE
2 - 3
JUV
23%
26%
51%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
JUV
3 - 0
ANC
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
DEP
1 - 0
JUV
52%
24%
24%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |