Serie A Round 18

Lazio vs Genoa analysis

Lazio Genoa
86 ELO 77
21.9% Tilt -1.2%
15º General ELO ranking 57º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
71%
Lazio
17%
Draw
12%
Genoa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
Lazio
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12%
Win probability
Genoa
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-4%
+2%
Genoa

ELO progression

Lazio
Genoa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 2021
SAS
Sassuolo
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
40%
25%
36%
86 83 3 0
09 Dec. 2021
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 0
Galatasaray SK
GAL
60%
20%
20%
86 83 3 0
05 Dec. 2021
SAM
Sampdoria
1 - 3
Lazio
LAZ
33%
25%
42%
86 80 6 0
02 Dec. 2021
LAZ
Lazio
4 - 4
Udinese
UDI
68%
18%
14%
86 79 7 0
28 Nov. 2021
NAP
Napoli
4 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
62%
21%
18%
86 89 3 0

Matches

Genoa
Genoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2021
GEN
Genoa
1 - 0
Salernitana
SAL
65%
20%
16%
77 70 7 0
10 Dec. 2021
GEN
Genoa
1 - 3
Sampdoria
SAM
41%
25%
34%
77 80 3 0
05 Dec. 2021
JUV
Juventus
2 - 0
Genoa
GEN
76%
16%
8%
78 91 13 -1
01 Dec. 2021
GEN
Genoa
0 - 3
Milan
ACM
20%
23%
57%
78 89 11 0
28 Nov. 2021
UDI
Udinese
0 - 0
Genoa
GEN
43%
26%
31%
78 79 1 0